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en Can we mitigate animal–vehicle accidents using predictive models? -
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del recurso Acceso al recurso a2026-06-25
(anteriormente2026-06-23
) en Can we mitigate animal–vehicle accidents using predictive models?
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| 79 | "notes": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | 93 | "notes": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | ||
| 80 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | 94 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | ||
| 81 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | 95 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | ||
| 82 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | 96 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | ||
| 83 | survival and road safety.\n A database of 2067 records of | 97 | survival and road safety.\n A database of 2067 records of | ||
| 84 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | 98 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | ||
| 85 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | 99 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | ||
| 86 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | 100 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | ||
| 87 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | 101 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | ||
| 88 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | 102 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | ||
| 89 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | 103 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | ||
| 90 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | 104 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | ||
| 91 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | 105 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | ||
| 92 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the models. | 106 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the models. | ||
| 93 | Road sections with high collision rates were associated with areas | 107 | Road sections with high collision rates were associated with areas | ||
| 94 | having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of buildings and | 108 | having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of buildings and | ||
| 95 | high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a significant | 109 | high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a significant | ||
| 96 | predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, 1 d.f., P= | 110 | predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, 1 d.f., P= | ||
| 97 | 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of cases. | 111 | 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of cases. | ||
| 98 | Specific collision points typically had no guard\u2010rails or lateral | 112 | Specific collision points typically had no guard\u2010rails or lateral | ||
| 99 | embankments, were not near underpasses, crossroads or buildings, and | 113 | embankments, were not near underpasses, crossroads or buildings, and | ||
| 100 | featured hedges or woodland near the road. The fitted model also | 114 | featured hedges or woodland near the road. The fitted model also | ||
| 101 | showed a significant predictive power in validation (64% correct | 115 | showed a significant predictive power in validation (64% correct | ||
| 102 | classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7002) and | 116 | classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7002) and | ||
| 103 | accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision points. Synthesis and | 117 | accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision points. Synthesis and | ||
| 104 | applications. Predictive models of animal\u2013vehicle collision | 118 | applications. Predictive models of animal\u2013vehicle collision | ||
| 105 | locations should be used at both a landscape level and a local scale | 119 | locations should be used at both a landscape level and a local scale | ||
| 106 | during the process of road design and implementation of mitigation | 120 | during the process of road design and implementation of mitigation | ||
| 107 | measures. Modelling of collision risk could inform decisions on road | 121 | measures. Modelling of collision risk could inform decisions on road | ||
| 108 | alignment and on the exact location of crossing structures for | 122 | alignment and on the exact location of crossing structures for | ||
| 109 | mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road safety. This is the | 123 | mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road safety. This is the | ||
| 110 | first study integrating both landscape and local scales of analysis | 124 | first study integrating both landscape and local scales of analysis | ||
| 111 | for the variables associated with animal\u2013vehicle collisions.\n | 125 | for the variables associated with animal\u2013vehicle collisions.\n | ||
| 112 | Palabras clave: Mitigation", | 126 | Palabras clave: Mitigation", | ||
| 113 | "notes_translated": { | 127 | "notes_translated": { | ||
| 114 | "en": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | 128 | "en": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | ||
| 115 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | 129 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | ||
| 116 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | 130 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | ||
| 117 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | 131 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | ||
| 118 | survival and road safety.\n2\n\nA database of 2067 records of | 132 | survival and road safety.\n2\n\nA database of 2067 records of | ||
| 119 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | 133 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | ||
| 120 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | 134 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | ||
| 121 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | 135 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | ||
| 122 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | 136 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | ||
| 123 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | 137 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | ||
| 124 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | 138 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | ||
| 125 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | 139 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | ||
| 126 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | 140 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | ||
| 127 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the | 141 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the | ||
| 128 | models.\n3\n\nRoad sections with high collision rates were associated | 142 | models.\n3\n\nRoad sections with high collision rates were associated | ||
| 129 | with areas having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of | 143 | with areas having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of | ||
| 130 | buildings and high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a | 144 | buildings and high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a | ||
| 131 | significant predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, | 145 | significant predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, | ||
| 132 | 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of | 146 | 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of | ||
| 133 | cases.\n4\n\nSpecific collision points typically had no | 147 | cases.\n4\n\nSpecific collision points typically had no | ||
| 134 | guard\u2010rails or lateral embankments, were not near underpasses, | 148 | guard\u2010rails or lateral embankments, were not near underpasses, | ||
| 135 | crossroads or buildings, and featured hedges or woodland near the | 149 | crossroads or buildings, and featured hedges or woodland near the | ||
| 136 | road. The fitted model also showed a significant predictive power in | 150 | road. The fitted model also showed a significant predictive power in | ||
| 137 | validation (64% correct classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., | 151 | validation (64% correct classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., | ||
| 138 | P= 0\u00b7002) and accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision | 152 | P= 0\u00b7002) and accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision | ||
| 139 | points.\n5\n\nSynthesis and applications. Predictive models of | 153 | points.\n5\n\nSynthesis and applications. Predictive models of | ||
| 140 | animal\u2013vehicle collision locations should be used at both a | 154 | animal\u2013vehicle collision locations should be used at both a | ||
| 141 | landscape level and a local scale during the process of road design | 155 | landscape level and a local scale during the process of road design | ||
| 142 | and implementation of mitigation measures. Modelling of collision risk | 156 | and implementation of mitigation measures. Modelling of collision risk | ||
| 143 | could inform decisions on road alignment and on the exact location of | 157 | could inform decisions on road alignment and on the exact location of | ||
| 144 | crossing structures for mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road | 158 | crossing structures for mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road | ||
| 145 | safety. This is the first study integrating both landscape and local | 159 | safety. This is the first study integrating both landscape and local | ||
| 146 | scales of analysis for the variables associated with | 160 | scales of analysis for the variables associated with | ||
| 147 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions.", | 161 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions.", | ||
| 148 | "es": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | 162 | "es": "Vehicle collisions with wild animals are a serious problem | ||
| 149 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | 163 | that justifies the widespread application of mitigation measures such | ||
| 150 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | 164 | as road fencing and provision of crossing structures. Models that | ||
| 151 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | 165 | predict the best location for mitigation measures can improve wildlife | ||
| 152 | survival and road safety.\n A database of 2067 records of | 166 | survival and road safety.\n A database of 2067 records of | ||
| 153 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | 167 | animal\u2013vehicle collisions was used to create two data sets at | ||
| 154 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | 168 | different spatial scales. The first comprised records of road sections | ||
| 155 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | 169 | of 1 km length with high rates of collision in combination with road | ||
| 156 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | 170 | sections with a low number of collisions. The second comprised records | ||
| 157 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | 171 | of collision and no collision incidence at points on the road system | ||
| 158 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | 172 | at a 0\u00b71\u2010km scale. Logistic regression was used to | ||
| 159 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | 173 | investigate the relationship between incidence of collision and | ||
| 160 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | 174 | measured habitat features in each data set. The models were validated | ||
| 161 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the models. | 175 | with a subset of the original data not used in developing the models. | ||
| 162 | Road sections with high collision rates were associated with areas | 176 | Road sections with high collision rates were associated with areas | ||
| 163 | having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of buildings and | 177 | having high forest cover, low crop cover, low numbers of buildings and | ||
| 164 | high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a significant | 178 | high habitat diversity. The fitted model achieved a significant | ||
| 165 | predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, 1 d.f., P= | 179 | predictive success during validation (\u03c72 = 4\u00b782, 1 d.f., P= | ||
| 166 | 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of cases. | 180 | 0\u00b7028), with more than 70% correct classification of cases. | ||
| 167 | Specific collision points typically had no guard\u2010rails or lateral | 181 | Specific collision points typically had no guard\u2010rails or lateral | ||
| 168 | embankments, were not near underpasses, crossroads or buildings, and | 182 | embankments, were not near underpasses, crossroads or buildings, and | ||
| 169 | featured hedges or woodland near the road. The fitted model also | 183 | featured hedges or woodland near the road. The fitted model also | ||
| 170 | showed a significant predictive power in validation (64% correct | 184 | showed a significant predictive power in validation (64% correct | ||
| 171 | classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7002) and | 185 | classification, \u03c72 = 9\u00b751, 1 d.f., P= 0\u00b7002) and | ||
| 172 | accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision points. Synthesis and | 186 | accurately predicted 85\u00b71% of collision points. Synthesis and | ||
| 173 | applications. Predictive models of animal\u2013vehicle collision | 187 | applications. Predictive models of animal\u2013vehicle collision | ||
| 174 | locations should be used at both a landscape level and a local scale | 188 | locations should be used at both a landscape level and a local scale | ||
| 175 | during the process of road design and implementation of mitigation | 189 | during the process of road design and implementation of mitigation | ||
| 176 | measures. Modelling of collision risk could inform decisions on road | 190 | measures. Modelling of collision risk could inform decisions on road | ||
| 177 | alignment and on the exact location of crossing structures for | 191 | alignment and on the exact location of crossing structures for | ||
| 178 | mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road safety. This is the | 192 | mammals, to improve wildlife survival and road safety. This is the | ||
| 179 | first study integrating both landscape and local scales of analysis | 193 | first study integrating both landscape and local scales of analysis | ||
| 180 | for the variables associated with animal\u2013vehicle collisions.\n | 194 | for the variables associated with animal\u2013vehicle collisions.\n | ||
| 181 | Palabras clave: Mitigation" | 195 | Palabras clave: Mitigation" | ||
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