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) en Application of an integrated catchment-lake model approach for simulating effects of climate change on lake inputs and biogeochemistry
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| 95 | "notes": "Climate change is simultaneously affecting lakes and their | 105 | "notes": "Climate change is simultaneously affecting lakes and their | ||
| 96 | catchments, resulting in altered runoff patterns in the catchment and | 106 | catchments, resulting in altered runoff patterns in the catchment and | ||
| 97 | modified mixing and biogeochemical dynamics in lakes. The effects of | 107 | modified mixing and biogeochemical dynamics in lakes. The effects of | ||
| 98 | climate change in a catchment will eventually have an impact on the | 108 | climate change in a catchment will eventually have an impact on the | ||
| 99 | dynamics of a downstream water body as well. An integrated model would | 109 | dynamics of a downstream water body as well. An integrated model would | ||
| 100 | allow considering how changes in the watershed affect the lake, but | 110 | allow considering how changes in the watershed affect the lake, but | ||
| 101 | coupled modelling studies are rare. In this study we integrate a | 111 | coupled modelling studies are rare. In this study we integrate a | ||
| 102 | catchment model (SWAT+) and a lake model (GOTM-WET) to obtain holistic | 112 | catchment model (SWAT+) and a lake model (GOTM-WET) to obtain holistic | ||
| 103 | predictions for Lake Erken, Sweden. Using five different global | 113 | predictions for Lake Erken, Sweden. Using five different global | ||
| 104 | climate models, projections of climate, catchment loads and lake water | 114 | climate models, projections of climate, catchment loads and lake water | ||
| 105 | quality for the mid and end of the 21st century have been obtained | 115 | quality for the mid and end of the 21st century have been obtained | ||
| 106 | under two future scenarios (SSP 2-45 and SSP 5-85). Temperature, | 116 | under two future scenarios (SSP 2-45 and SSP 5-85). Temperature, | ||
| 107 | precipitation and evapotranspiration will increase in the future, | 117 | precipitation and evapotranspiration will increase in the future, | ||
| 108 | overall resulting in an increase in water inflow to the lake. An | 118 | overall resulting in an increase in water inflow to the lake. An | ||
| 109 | increasing importance of surface runoff will also have consequences on | 119 | increasing importance of surface runoff will also have consequences on | ||
| 110 | the catchment soil, hydrologic flow paths, and the input of nutrients | 120 | the catchment soil, hydrologic flow paths, and the input of nutrients | ||
| 111 | to the lake. In the lake, water temperatures will rise, leading to | 121 | to the lake. In the lake, water temperatures will rise, leading to | ||
| 112 | increased stratification and a drop in oxygen levels. Nitrate levels | 122 | increased stratification and a drop in oxygen levels. Nitrate levels | ||
| 113 | are predicted to remain unchanged, while phosphate and ammonium levels | 123 | are predicted to remain unchanged, while phosphate and ammonium levels | ||
| 114 | increase. A coupled catchment-lake configuration such as that | 124 | increase. A coupled catchment-lake configuration such as that | ||
| 115 | illustrated here allows prediction of future biogeochemical conditions | 125 | illustrated here allows prediction of future biogeochemical conditions | ||
| 116 | of a lake, including linking land use changes to changing lake | 126 | of a lake, including linking land use changes to changing lake | ||
| 117 | conditions, as well as eutrophication and browning studies. Since | 127 | conditions, as well as eutrophication and browning studies. Since | ||
| 118 | climate affects both the lake and the catchment, simulations of | 128 | climate affects both the lake and the catchment, simulations of | ||
| 119 | climate change should ideally take into account both systems.", | 129 | climate change should ideally take into account both systems.", | ||
| 120 | "notes_translated": { | 130 | "notes_translated": { | ||
| 121 | "es": "Climate change is simultaneously affecting lakes and their | 131 | "es": "Climate change is simultaneously affecting lakes and their | ||
| 122 | catchments, resulting in altered runoff patterns in the catchment and | 132 | catchments, resulting in altered runoff patterns in the catchment and | ||
| 123 | modified mixing and biogeochemical dynamics in lakes. The effects of | 133 | modified mixing and biogeochemical dynamics in lakes. The effects of | ||
| 124 | climate change in a catchment will eventually have an impact on the | 134 | climate change in a catchment will eventually have an impact on the | ||
| 125 | dynamics of a downstream water body as well. An integrated model would | 135 | dynamics of a downstream water body as well. An integrated model would | ||
| 126 | allow considering how changes in the watershed affect the lake, but | 136 | allow considering how changes in the watershed affect the lake, but | ||
| 127 | coupled modelling studies are rare. In this study we integrate a | 137 | coupled modelling studies are rare. In this study we integrate a | ||
| 128 | catchment model (SWAT+) and a lake model (GOTM-WET) to obtain holistic | 138 | catchment model (SWAT+) and a lake model (GOTM-WET) to obtain holistic | ||
| 129 | predictions for Lake Erken, Sweden. Using five different global | 139 | predictions for Lake Erken, Sweden. Using five different global | ||
| 130 | climate models, projections of climate, catchment loads and lake water | 140 | climate models, projections of climate, catchment loads and lake water | ||
| 131 | quality for the mid and end of the 21st century have been obtained | 141 | quality for the mid and end of the 21st century have been obtained | ||
| 132 | under two future scenarios (SSP 2-45 and SSP 5-85). Temperature, | 142 | under two future scenarios (SSP 2-45 and SSP 5-85). Temperature, | ||
| 133 | precipitation and evapotranspiration will increase in the future, | 143 | precipitation and evapotranspiration will increase in the future, | ||
| 134 | overall resulting in an increase in water inflow to the lake. An | 144 | overall resulting in an increase in water inflow to the lake. An | ||
| 135 | increasing importance of surface runoff will also have consequences on | 145 | increasing importance of surface runoff will also have consequences on | ||
| 136 | the catchment soil, hydrologic flow paths, and the input of nutrients | 146 | the catchment soil, hydrologic flow paths, and the input of nutrients | ||
| 137 | to the lake. In the lake, water temperatures will rise, leading to | 147 | to the lake. In the lake, water temperatures will rise, leading to | ||
| 138 | increased stratification and a drop in oxygen levels. Nitrate levels | 148 | increased stratification and a drop in oxygen levels. Nitrate levels | ||
| 139 | are predicted to remain unchanged, while phosphate and ammonium levels | 149 | are predicted to remain unchanged, while phosphate and ammonium levels | ||
| 140 | increase. A coupled catchment-lake configuration such as that | 150 | increase. A coupled catchment-lake configuration such as that | ||
| 141 | illustrated here allows prediction of future biogeochemical conditions | 151 | illustrated here allows prediction of future biogeochemical conditions | ||
| 142 | of a lake, including linking land use changes to changing lake | 152 | of a lake, including linking land use changes to changing lake | ||
| 143 | conditions, as well as eutrophication and browning studies. Since | 153 | conditions, as well as eutrophication and browning studies. Since | ||
| 144 | climate affects both the lake and the catchment, simulations of | 154 | climate affects both the lake and the catchment, simulations of | ||
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