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) en Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Four European Lagoon Catchments
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| 93 | potential land use and management changes in climate impact research. | 103 | potential land use and management changes in climate impact research. | ||
| 94 | By taking into account possible trends of economic development and | 104 | By taking into account possible trends of economic development and | ||
| 95 | environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water | 105 | environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water | ||
| 96 | availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: | 106 | availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: | ||
| 97 | Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland | 107 | Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland | ||
| 98 | and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the | 108 | and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the | ||
| 99 | process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one | 109 | process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one | ||
| 100 | reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the | 110 | reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the | ||
| 101 | \"business as usual\", \"crisis\", \"managed horizons\", and | 111 | \"business as usual\", \"crisis\", \"managed horizons\", and | ||
| 102 | \"set-aside\" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for | 112 | \"set-aside\" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for | ||
| 103 | a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period. | 113 | a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period. | ||
| 104 | Modeling results suggest a large spatial variability of potential | 114 | Modeling results suggest a large spatial variability of potential | ||
| 105 | impacts across the study areas, due to differences in the projected | 115 | impacts across the study areas, due to differences in the projected | ||
| 106 | precipitation trends and the current environmental and socio-economic | 116 | precipitation trends and the current environmental and socio-economic | ||
| 107 | conditions. While climate change may reduce water and nutrients input | 117 | conditions. While climate change may reduce water and nutrients input | ||
| 108 | to the Ria de Aveiro and Tyligulsyi Liman and increase water inflow to | 118 | to the Ria de Aveiro and Tyligulsyi Liman and increase water inflow to | ||
| 109 | the Vistula Lagoon the socio-economic scenarios and their implications | 119 | the Vistula Lagoon the socio-economic scenarios and their implications | ||
| 110 | may balance out or reverse these trends. In the intensely managed Mar | 120 | may balance out or reverse these trends. In the intensely managed Mar | ||
| 111 | Menor catchment, climate change has no notable direct impact on water | 121 | Menor catchment, climate change has no notable direct impact on water | ||
| 112 | resources, but changes in land use and water management may certainly | 122 | resources, but changes in land use and water management may certainly | ||
| 113 | aggravate the current environmental problems. The great heterogeneity | 123 | aggravate the current environmental problems. The great heterogeneity | ||
| 114 | among results does not allow formulating adaptation or mitigation | 124 | among results does not allow formulating adaptation or mitigation | ||
| 115 | measures at pan-European level, as initially intended by this study. | 125 | measures at pan-European level, as initially intended by this study. | ||
| 116 | It rather implies the need of a regional approach in coastal zone | 126 | It rather implies the need of a regional approach in coastal zone | ||
| 117 | management.", | 127 | management.", | ||
| 118 | "notes_translated": { | 128 | "notes_translated": { | ||
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| 121 | By taking into account possible trends of economic development and | 131 | By taking into account possible trends of economic development and | ||
| 122 | environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water | 132 | environmental awareness, we assess effects of global warming on water | ||
| 123 | availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: | 133 | availability and quality in the catchments of four European lagoons: | ||
| 124 | Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland | 134 | Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Vistula Lagoon (Poland | ||
| 125 | and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the | 135 | and Russia), and Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine). Different setups of the | ||
| 126 | process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one | 136 | process-based soil and water integrated model (SWIM), representing one | ||
| 127 | reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the | 137 | reference and four socio-economic scenarios for each study area: the | ||
| 128 | \"business as usual\", \"crisis\", \"managed horizons\", and | 138 | \"business as usual\", \"crisis\", \"managed horizons\", and | ||
| 129 | \"set-aside\" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for | 139 | \"set-aside\" scenarios are driven by sets of 15 climate scenarios for | ||
| 130 | a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period. | 140 | a reference (1971-2000) and near future (2011-2040) scenario period. | ||
| 131 | Modeling results suggest a large spatial variability of potential | 141 | Modeling results suggest a large spatial variability of potential | ||
| 132 | impacts across the study areas, due to differences in the projected | 142 | impacts across the study areas, due to differences in the projected | ||
| 133 | precipitation trends and the current environmental and socio-economic | 143 | precipitation trends and the current environmental and socio-economic | ||
| 134 | conditions. While climate change may reduce water and nutrients input | 144 | conditions. While climate change may reduce water and nutrients input | ||
| 135 | to the Ria de Aveiro and Tyligulsyi Liman and increase water inflow to | 145 | to the Ria de Aveiro and Tyligulsyi Liman and increase water inflow to | ||
| 136 | the Vistula Lagoon the socio-economic scenarios and their implications | 146 | the Vistula Lagoon the socio-economic scenarios and their implications | ||
| 137 | may balance out or reverse these trends. In the intensely managed Mar | 147 | may balance out or reverse these trends. In the intensely managed Mar | ||
| 138 | Menor catchment, climate change has no notable direct impact on water | 148 | Menor catchment, climate change has no notable direct impact on water | ||
| 139 | resources, but changes in land use and water management may certainly | 149 | resources, but changes in land use and water management may certainly | ||
| 140 | aggravate the current environmental problems. The great heterogeneity | 150 | aggravate the current environmental problems. The great heterogeneity | ||
| 141 | among results does not allow formulating adaptation or mitigation | 151 | among results does not allow formulating adaptation or mitigation | ||
| 142 | measures at pan-European level, as initially intended by this study. | 152 | measures at pan-European level, as initially intended by this study. | ||
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